or


[10/08/09 - 11:47 PM]
The 10 Things You Need to Know About the New Season: #9 - Most Shows Lose 25% of Their Debut Audience
By Brian Ford Sullivan (TFC)

Please note: As a courtesy, please do not reproduce these comments to newsgroups, forums or other online places. Links only please.

Welcome once again to "The 10 Things You Need to Know About the New Season," our annual feature about, well... the 10 things you need to know about the new season. The goal of this venture is to address not only common questions people have about television but to also demystify (or potentially reaffirm) stigmas out there about certain networks, time periods, genres and so forth. So with that in mind let us put on our journalistic caps and give you the cold hard truth about what's potentially ahead for some of your favorite new and returning shows...

9. Most shows lose 25% of their premiere audience by week four.

It shouldn't be too much of a surprise to learn that, for the most part, a new show's audience will fade from week to week. After all, television is weekly commitment and not everyone who watches a show's premiere will be in it for the long haul. But how large is that exodus? It turns out after the first week, 11% of viewers on average don't come back for round two. By the third week, nearly 22% of those initial premiere viewers are gone. Ultimately by a show's fourth installment, 25% of that initial audience will have tuned out. Take a look at how each new show last season fared with each successive week (the number in parenthesis denotes the rank of that week's respective change):

series (network)week 1week 2week 3week 4
mentalist, the (cbs)15.6-0.64% (7)-4.49% (6)-1.92% (6)
lie to me (fox)12.4-1.61% (9)4.84% (2)-10.48% (10)
eleventh hour (cbs)11.44.39% (4)3.51% (3)-1.75% (5)
life on mars (abc)11.3-27.43% (39)-30.09% (31)-28.32% (24)
surviving suburbia (abc)11.2-13.39% (20)-11.61% (9)-19.64% (13)
worst week (cbs)10.9-17.43% (25)-19.27% (18)-10.09% (9)
castle (abc)10.81.85% (5)-15.74% (15)-15.74% (12)
superstars of dance (nbc)10.6-8.49% (13)-32.08% (35)-38.68% (32)
harper's island (cbs)10.2-23.53% (35)-31.37% (33)-54.90% (38)
southland (nbc)9.9-3.03% (11)-18.18% (17)-32.32% (28)
fringe (fox)9.146.15% (2)3.30% (4)8.79% (3)
homeland security usa (abc)7.8-23.08% (34)-28.21% (29)-28.21% (23)
howie do it (nbc)7.8-21.79% (32)-28.21% (28)-32.05% (27)
true beauty (abc)7.6-14.47% (21)-23.68% (23)-9.21% (7)
kath & kim (nbc)7.5-18.67% (28)-33.33% (37)-28.00% (22)
secret millionaire (abc)7.4-1.35% (8)-27.03% (26)-9.46% (8)
crusoe (nbc)7.4-17.57% (26)-44.59% (40)-43.24% (36)
my own worst enemy (nbc)7.3-21.92% (33)-27.40% (27)-41.10% (35)
america's toughest jobs (nbc)7.3-2.74% (10)-10.96% (8)-44.38% (37)
cupid (abc)7.2-20.83% (30)-15.28% (14)-22.22% (15)
hole in the wall (fox)7.2-44.44% (42)-25.00% (24)-34.72% (29)
parks & recreation (nbc)6.9-13.04% (19)-23.19% (21)-26.09% (18)
gary unmarried (cbs)6.81.47% (6)8.82% (1)10.29% (2)
ex list, the (cbs)6.8-17.65% (27)-7.35% (7)-22.06% (14)
unusuals, the (abc)6.8-11.76% (18)-14.71% (13)-30.88% (25)
in the motherhood (abc)6.7-25.37% (37)-32.84% (36)-31.34% (26)
opportunity knocks (abc)6.6-9.09% (14)-21.21% (19)
kings (nbc)6.1-24.59% (36)-26.23% (25)-40.98% (34)
momma's boys (nbc)6.0-16.67% (23)-16.67% (16)-11.67% (11)
better off ted (abc)5.5-16.36% (22)-14.55% (12)-27.27% (20)
sit down, shut up (fox)5.2-19.23% (29)-59.62% (42)-71.15% (40)
dollhouse (fox)4.8-10.42% (16)-12.50% (10)-25.00% (16)
90210 (cw)4.7-31.91% (40)-29.79% (30)-38.30% (31)
do not disturb (fox)4.7-17.02% (24)-23.40% (22)
chopping block (nbc)3.8-10.53% (17)-31.58% (34)-39.47% (33)
game show in my head (cbs)3.488.24% (1)2.94% (5)11.76% (1)
privileged (cw)2.6-7.69% (12)-30.77% (32)-26.92% (19)
13: fear is real (cw)2.4-41.67% (41)-48.33% (41)-62.50% (39)
stylista (cw)2.3-21.74% (31)-21.74% (20)-26.09% (17)
valentine (cw)1.1-9.09% (15)-36.36% (38)-27.27% (21)
easy money (cw)1.1-27.27% (38)-36.36% (39)-36.36% (30)
in harm's way (cw)0.714.29% (3)-14.29% (11)0.00% (4)
average-10.88%-21.54%-25.47%

Some other interesting notes: only two of the 19 shows that lost 28% (or more) of their premiere audience got renewed for second seasons: "90210" and "Southland." Conversely, "Gary Unmarried," "Fringe" and "The Mentalist" either built or stayed on par with their debut viewership, not surprisingly earning second seasons in the process. That facet however didn't help "Game Show In My Head," "In Harm's Way" and "Eleventh Hour," all of which were canceled last season. So why were they canceled then? Stay tuned.

TOMORROW: The final tools you'll need to survive the new season.





  [october 2009]  
S
M
T
W
T
F
S
    


· SHOWATCH
(series past and present)
· DEVWATCH
(series in development)
· MOVIEWATCH
(tv movies and mini-series)





[10/12/26 - 09:01 AM]
Video: "The Disciple: A Wu-Tang Fable" - Official Trailer - Netflix
The true story of an outsider whose relentless determination catapults him into the Wu-Tang Clan's inner circle, where ambition and creativity converge to record an album poised to ignite global controversy.

[10/12/26 - 09:01 AM]
CBS Announces Airdates for "The Price Is Right at Night: Live Holiday Special" and "The Price Is Right: 20 Seasons of Drew Carey" Airing Dec. 13 and 15 on CBS
This high stakes, must watch primetime holiday television event unfolds as it happens, raising the pressure with every passing second.

[10/12/26 - 09:01 AM]
Video: Apple Original Films Releases Trailer for "Being Heumann," The Rousing New Film from Sian Heder
"Being Heumann" will debut in select theaters on Friday, November 6, 2026 and premiere globally on Apple TV Friday, November 13, 2026.

[10/12/26 - 08:31 AM]
Theo Von Returns to Netflix for His Third Stand-Up Special
"Theo Von: I'm Doing Fine" premieres globally on Netflix October 20.

[10/12/26 - 08:02 AM]
Video: "The Body" - Official Trailer - Netflix
On Halloween night, an all-girls dance squad tumbles into Catholic guilt, unholy desires and ghostly visions when an initiation goes to hell.

[10/12/26 - 08:01 AM]
Video: "Marcos: Another World Is Possible" - Official Trailer - Netflix
In 1994, a masked man became the face of the Zapatista uprising. Through Subcomandante Marcos, this documentary explores the movement's resistance today.

[10/12/26 - 07:01 AM]
Video: "A Dog's Perfect Christmas" - Official Trailer - Netflix
When a medical emergency pulls the Goss family apart, determined dog Winstead will do all he can to bring his humans back together before Christmas Eve.

[10/12/26 - 07:01 AM]
Video: "Common Side Effects" - Season 2 Teaser - Adult Swim
Sneak peek at the new season coming January 24 on Adult Swim, next day on HBO Max.

[10/12/26 - 07:00 AM]
Luc Besson's "Dracula" to Make Streaming Debut on Paramount+ October 12
Caleb Landry Jones, Christoph Waltz, and Zoƫ Bleu star in the reimagining of Bram Stoker's iconic story.

[10/12/26 - 06:31 AM]
TNT Sports' 2026 MLB American League Championship Series Coverage to Begin Monday, Oct. 12
For the tenth consecutive year, Brian Anderson will provide play-by-play for the Championship Series coverage for TNT Sports.

[10/12/26 - 05:01 AM]
Video: "The Mosquito Bowl" - Official Trailer - Netflix
Trained for glory, called to war... Following the attack on Pearl Harbor, four of America's top college football stars set their fame aside to enlist in the Marines.

[10/12/26 - 12:31 AM]
Video: "The Riot" - Official Teaser - Netflix
1989 in a newly democratic Poland. A hardened prisoner and a politician on the rise must race to avert bloodshed at Mroki prison, where old ways die hard.

[10/11/26 - 11:45 AM]
Global Book Franchise "Artemis Fowl" Greenlit for Animated Television Series on Disney Channel and Disney+
Author Eoin Colfer announced the news during the "25 Years of Artemis Fowl" panel at New York Comic Con.

[10/11/26 - 11:28 AM]
Meet Alex Holland When "The Rookie North" Premieres Wednesday, January 6 on ABC
Look for Season 9 of "The Rookie" at 9:00/8:00c followed by the debut of "The Rookie North" at 10:00/9:00c.

[10/11/26 - 10:15 AM]
Tubi Announces Next Film in Continued Partnership with R.L. Stine with Adaptation of "The Babysitter"
Desperate to earn enough money for a prestigious writing program, sixteen-year-old Jenny takes a babysitting job despite a prowler terrorizing girls across town.