or


[09/26/11 - 12:02 AM]
The Futon's Ratings Survival Guide: "Terra Nova" (FOX)
By The Futon Critic Staff (TFC)

Please note: As a courtesy, please do not reproduce these comments to newsgroups, forums or other online places. Links only please.

Welcome to The Futon's Ratings Survival Guide, our annual feature which takes each new fall series on the broadcast networks and tells you the numbers it will need to survive for a second season. In general, a show's success isn't so much where it lands on the weekly ratings chart but rather how it performs in two key categories:

1. How much of its lead-in audience it retains. If a show averages 10 million viewers that's a good thing. But if the show that airs before it is averaging 30 million viewers, that's not a good thing. Why? Because 20 of those 30 million viewers decided to turn off that particular channel when the next show came on.

2. How it performs year-to-year in its time period. A new show is usually in its time period because the network thinks it can do better than it did in that slot last year. In other words, do worse than the show that was canceled after three weeks last fall then you too probably are not long for this world.

As you'll see, together these measurements paint a clear picture on how a particular show is doing. So without further ado, let's begin.

TERRA NOVA (FOX)
(Mondays at 8:00/7:00c)

The two-and-out failure of "Lone Star" gives an easy guide to what kind of numbers won't be tolerated by FOX this fall while the solid retention by "24" likewise will ballpark what's possible behind "House" in the Monday, 9:00/8:00c slot. Between those tentpoles are the middling numbers for "Lie to Me" and "The Chicago Code" - both of which were shuttered - so presumably the expectation is "Terra Nova" can and will do better in their place.

Here's how FOX has fared on Monday nights the past two seasons:*

mondays in 2009-2011timeviewers
(retention)
adults 18-49
(retention)
House: Season 68:00 PM12.30
(N/A)
4.69
(N/A)
House: Season 78:00 PM9.86
(N/A)
3.57
(N/A)
24: Season 89:00 PM9.10
(94.59%)
2.86
(82.66%)
Lie to Me: Season 29:00 PM7.40
(64.24%)
2.74
(61.71%)
Lie to Me: Season 39:00 PM5.91
(69.04%)
1.96
(64.69%)
The Chicago Code9:00 PM6.96
(71.90%)
1.95
(56.69%)
Lie to Me: Season 2**8:00 PM5.84
(N/A)
1.83
(N/A)
Lie to Me: Season 2**9:00 PM5.01
(136.51%)
1.65
(137.50%)
Lone Star9:00 PM3.93
(38.16%)
1.30
(32.91%)
The Good Guys**9:00 PM4.00
(68.49%)
1.18
(64.48%)

* Viewers are in millions, adults 18-49 is the percentage of said viewers in the demographic; all are based on fast national data, using only first-run episodes in its regular time period.

** denotes summer series added for additional perspective





  [september 2011]  
S
M
T
W
T
F
S
    


· FUTON'S RATINGS SURVIVAL GUIDES (TFC)
· TERRA NOVA (FOX)









most recent ratings | view all posts
[04/24/14 - 10:40 AM]
"The Tonight Show" Sees Year-to-Year Growth, Scoring Its Highest 18-49 Rating for a Week of Rebroadcasts in Nearly Three Years
NBC spins the late-night numbers for the week of April 14-18.

[04/24/14 - 08:50 AM]
Encore Telecast of "Law & Order: Special Victims Unit" Builds On Its Lead-In by 10% in Adults 18-49
NBC spins the numbers for Wednesday, April 23.

[04/24/14 - 08:45 AM]
Wednesday's Broadcast Ratings: FOX Tops Viewers, Demos with "American Idol"
The network's mainstay is up double-digits from last week among adults 18-49.

[04/24/14 - 08:28 AM]
ABC's "Modern Family" Is Up as Wednesday's #1 TV Show for Its 6th Straight Original
ABC spins the numbers for Wednesday, April 23.

[04/24/14 - 07:49 AM]
"Jimmy Kimmel Live: Behind the Scandalabra" Delivers the Show's Most-Watched-Ever Late-Night Telecast
ABC spins the late-night numbers for the week of April 14-18.

[04/23/14 - 02:59 PM]
Discovery Channel's Season Premiere of "Deadliest Catch" Is Highest Rated Premiere in Three Seasons
Discovery spins the numbers for Tuesday, April 22.

[04/23/14 - 02:51 PM]
Tuesday's Cable Ratings & Broadcast Finals: "The Voice" Keeps NBC on Top in Demos
Plus: numbers for MTV's "Faking It," Investigation Discovery's "Bad Teachers" and Discovery's "Deadliest Catch."

[04/23/14 - 01:21 PM]
Lifetime's New Docu-Series "True Tori" Captivates 1.2 Million Viewers in Series Premiere
Lifetime spins the numbers for Tuesday, April 22.

[04/23/14 - 01:20 PM]
ABC Airs 7 of the Season's Top 20 Entertainment Series - Most for Any Net
ABC spins the numbers for the season to date.

[04/23/14 - 10:52 AM]
Cartoon Network's "Adventure Time" Seals Monday Night Wins
Cartoon Network spins the numbers for Monday, April 21.

[04/23/14 - 08:47 AM]
NBC Finishes #1 or Tied for #1 Tuesday Night Among the Big 4 Networks for a Record 21st Time This Season in 18-49
NBC spins the numbers for Tuesday, April 22.

[04/23/14 - 08:36 AM]
"Supernatural" Rises, "The Originals" Holds Steady
The CW spins the numbers for Tuesday, April 22.

[04/23/14 - 08:30 AM]
ABC's "Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D." Is Up from Its Last Original 8pm Telecast in Viewers and Adults 18-49
ABC spins the numbers for Tuesday, April 22.

[04/23/14 - 08:29 AM]
Tuesday's Broadcast Ratings: NBC Keeps Demo Crown with "The Voice"
Plus: CBS, despite an all-repeat lineup, takes home the silver in adults 18-49 and remains the most-watched network.

[04/23/14 - 06:05 AM]
"The Boondocks'" Season Premiere Makes Big Splash on Adult Swim
Adult Swim spins the numbers for Monday, April 21.