or


[09/09/10 - 12:01 AM]
The Futon's Ratings Survival Guide: "Nikita" (The Cw)
By The Futon Critic Staff (TFC)

Please note: As a courtesy, please do not reproduce these comments to newsgroups, forums or other online places. Links only please.

Welcome to our Ratings Survival Guide, a handy new feature which takes each new fall series on the broadcast networks and tells you the numbers it will need to survive for a second season. In general, a show's success isn't so much where it lands on the weekly ratings chart but rather how it performs in two key categories:

1. How much of its lead-in audience it retains. If a show averages 10 million viewers that's a good thing. But if the show that airs before it is averaging 30 million viewers, that's not a good thing. Why? Because 20 of those 30 million viewers decided to turn off that particular channel when the next show came on.

2. How it performs year-to-year in its time period. A new show is usually in its time period because the network thinks it can do better than it did in that slot last year. In other words, do worse than the show that was canceled after three weeks last fall then you too probably are not long for this world.

As you'll see, together these measurements paint a clear picture on how a particular show is doing. So without further ado, let's begin.

NIKITA (The CW)
(Thursdays at 9:00/8:00c)

With the success of "The Vampire Diaries" last season, The CW is undoubtedly looking for a little more from the Thursday, 9:00/8:00c hour this fall. It's up to "Nikita" then to hopefully replicate the numbers of last year's time period holder "Supernatural." On average, the veteran drama held onto 71.18% of "Vampire's" audience, a solid but not stellar showing. Said numbers however marked a decline from the 2008-09 season, when "Supernatural" held 84.24% of "Smallville's" audience. "Nikita" then has a decent range to play with: 70% or so will keep it going, 75-80% would be considered respectable growth from last season.

A caveat here though: while ABC, CBS, FOX and NBC's target demographic is adults 18-49, The CW's is actually women 18-34. Since that data isn't readily available, we're left with adults 18-49 as the closet approximation. With that in mind, here's how The CW has fared on Thursday nights the past two seasons (viewers are in millions, adults 18-49 is the percentage of said viewers in the demographic; all are based on fast national data, using only first-run episodes):

thursdays in 2008-2010timeviewers
(retention)
adults 18-49
(retention)
The Vampire Diaries: Season 18:00 PM3.67
(N/A)
1.70
(N/A)
Smallville: Season 88:00 PM3.89
(N/A)
1.65
(N/A)
Supernatural: Season 49:00 PM3.19
(82.01%)
1.39
(84.24%)
Supernatural: Season 59:00 PM2.67
(72.75%)
1.21
(71.18%)

COMING WEDNESDAY: NBC's "Outlaw."





  [september 2010]  
S
M
T
W
T
F
S
   


· FUTON'S RATINGS SURVIVAL GUIDES (TFC)
· NIKITA (CW)









most recent ratings | view all posts
[12/18/14 - 11:01 AM]
"The Tonight Show" Handily Outperforms ABC, CBS Timeslot Competition for Week of Dec. 8-12
NBC spins the late-night numbers for the week of December 8-12.

[12/18/14 - 10:01 AM]
TBS Wins 2014 as Basic Cable's #1 Entertainment Network with Adults 18-49
Turner spins the numbers for the year to date.

[12/18/14 - 09:40 AM]
USA Network Continues Unprecedented Ratings Streak with 9th Consecutive Year as #1 in Cable in Total Viewers
USA spins the numbers for the year to date.

[12/18/14 - 08:44 AM]
"The Sing-Off" Ties for #2 in Its Slot Among the Big 4 in Adults 18-49
NBC spins the numbers for Wednesday, December 17.

[12/18/14 - 08:39 AM]
Wednesday's Broadcast Ratings: "Survivor" Wraps Season on Top for CBS
The Eye leads the night in both total viewers and adults 18-49.

[12/18/14 - 08:05 AM]
NBCSN Will Post Best Viewership in Network's History in 2014 & Rank as Fastest Growing Sports Cable Net
NBCSN spins the numbers for the year to date.

[12/18/14 - 07:59 AM]
Freshman Hit "Scorpion" and Relocated "NCIS: Los Angeles" Deliver Ratings Growth on Monday
CBS spins the numbers for Monday, December 15.

[12/17/14 - 11:00 AM]
Adult Swim Hits Milestone as Basic Cable's #1 Network With Young Adults for 10th Consecutive Year
Adult Swim spins the numbers for the year to date.

[12/17/14 - 10:40 AM]
ABC Is Up the Most this Season in Viewers - #1 in Non-Sports Adults 18-49
ABC spins the numbers for the season to date.

[12/17/14 - 08:48 AM]
The Finale of "The Voice 7" Hits a Non-Sports High in 18-49 for Any Network in Its Time Period Since September 30
NBC spins the numbers for Tuesday, December 16.

[12/17/14 - 08:30 AM]
Tuesday's Broadcast Ratings: "The Voice" Goes Out on Top for NBC
The Peacock's mainstay however is down 18% from its season finale a year ago.

[12/17/14 - 08:27 AM]
ABC's Second Replay This Season of "A Charlie Brown Christmas" Beats NBC's Debut of "Elf: Buddy's Musical Christmas" by Wide Margins
ABC spins the numbers for Tuesday, December 16.

[12/16/14 - 01:26 PM]
Hallmark Channel's Final Two Original Holiday Debuts Propel the Network to Rank #1 Among Women 25-54 Rating for the 6th Straight Week
The Hallmark Channel spins the numbers for the week of December 8-14.

[12/16/14 - 11:53 AM]
Syfy's "Ascension" Takes Off During First Night Premiere, Transporting 1.8 Million Total Viewers
Syfy spins the numbers for Monday, December 15.

[12/16/14 - 09:52 AM]
"60 Minutes" in Top 10 for Eighth Week in a Row
CBS spins the numbers for Sunday, December 14.