or


[09/15/10 - 12:31 AM]
The Futon's Ratings Survival Guide: "Outlaw" (NBC)
By The Futon Critic Staff (TFC)

Please note: As a courtesy, please do not reproduce these comments to newsgroups, forums or other online places. Links only please.

Welcome to our Ratings Survival Guide, a handy new feature which takes each new fall series on the broadcast networks and tells you the numbers it will need to survive for a second season. In general, a show's success isn't so much where it lands on the weekly ratings chart but rather how it performs in two key categories:

1. How much of its lead-in audience it retains. If a show averages 10 million viewers that's a good thing. But if the show that airs before it is averaging 30 million viewers, that's not a good thing. Why? Because 20 of those 30 million viewers decided to turn off that particular channel when the next show came on.

2. How it performs year-to-year in its time period. A new show is usually in its time period because the network thinks it can do better than it did in that slot last year. In other words, do worse than the show that was canceled after three weeks last fall then you too probably are not long for this world.

As you'll see, together these measurements paint a clear picture on how a particular show is doing. So without further ado, let's begin.

OUTLAW (NBC)
(Fridays at 10:00/9:00c)

Fridays are tough to get a bead on at the Peacock. Believe it or not, just half an adults 18-49 ratings point separates NBC's most-watched ("Dateline NBC") and least-watched ("Crusoe") programs on the night for the past two seasons. In terms of scripted offerings, "Life" and "Law & Order's" final seasons finished on top - the latter not renewed for cost reasons, the former axed after returning to Wednesday nights. "Outlaw" then is tasked with outperforming failures like "America's Toughest Jobs" and "Crusoe," especially since it will follow the network's top draw "Dateline NBC."

"Outlaw" however has the added pressure of having to prove that it's worth airing over cheaper alternatives like NBC's various reality offerings ("Minute to Win It," we're looking at you) or even an extra hour of "Dateline" (NBC's frequent fallback position for the night). In other words, finishing in the top half of the 1.5 to 1.0 adults 18-49 ratings scale may not be enough.

Here's how NBC has fared on Friday nights the past two seasons (viewers are in millions, adults 18-49 is the percentage of said viewers in the demographic; all are based on fast national data, using only first-run episodes):

fridays in 2008-2010timeviewers
(retention)
adults 18-49
(retention)
Dateline NBC: Season 199:00 PM6.90
(110.75%)
1.55
(112.32%)
Life: Season 210:00 PM5.50
(83.33%)
1.53
(105.52%)
Law & Order: Season 208:00 PM7.37
(N/A)
1.51
(N/A)
Who Do You Think You Are?8:00 PM6.40
(N/A)
1.50
(N/A)
Dateline NBC: Season 189:00 PM5.70
(197.92%)
1.45
(161.11%)
The Jay Leno Show10:00 PM5.37
(71.89%)
1.38
(82.14%)
Friday Night Lights: Season 39:00 PM3.96
(92.74%)
1.35
(105.47%)
Law & Order: Season 198:00 PM6.74
(N/A)
1.33
(N/A)
Howie Do It8:00 PM4.21
(N/A)
1.24
(N/A)
Lipstick Jungle: Season 29:00 PM3.90
(63.93%)
1.23
(89.13%)
Deal or No Deal: Season 48:00 PM5.77
(N/A)
1.22
(N/A)
Friday Night Lights: Season 4**8:00 PM3.94
(N/A)
1.20
(N/A)
Lipstick Jungle: Season 210:00 PM3.40
(84.37%)
1.20
(129.03%)
America's Toughest Jobs8:00 PM3.60
(N/A)
1.18
(N/A)
Crusoe9:00 PM4.44
(80.73%)
0.98
(83.05%)

** includes only in-season airings (through 5/21/10)

COMING MONDAY: FOX's "Lone Star," NBC's "The Event" & "Chase" and CBS's "Mike & Molly" & "Hawaii Five-0"





  [september 2010]  
S
M
T
W
T
F
S
   


· FUTON'S RATINGS SURVIVAL GUIDES (TFC)
· OUTLAW (NBC)





most recent ratings | view all posts
[08/28/15 - 08:47 AM]
"Food Fighters" Matches Its Season High in 18-49
NBC spins the numbers for Thursday, August 27.

[08/28/15 - 08:38 AM]
Thursday's Broadcast Ratings: "Big Brother," "Big Bang" Continue Win Streak for CBS
The Eye has won the past 11 Thursdays among total viewers and adults 18-49.

[08/27/15 - 11:09 AM]
Jimmy Fallon Tops His Broadcast Competition for the Late-Night Ratings Week of Aug. 17-21 in All Key Categories
NBC spins the late-night numbers for the week of August 17-21.

[08/27/15 - 08:53 AM]
"The Carmichael Show" Is the Most-Watched Summer Comedy Debut Since 2007, Wins the Slot Among the Big 4 in Adults 18-49
NBC spins the numbers for Wednesday, August 26.

[08/27/15 - 08:43 AM]
Wednesday's Broadcast Ratings: CBS Tops Viewers, Shares Demo Crown with NBC
"America's Got Talent" is the most-watched series while "Big Brother" leads the adults 18-49 race.

[08/26/15 - 08:42 AM]
NBC Wins Tuesday Among the Big 4 in All Key Measures, Sweeps Six of Six Half-Hours Among Those Nets in Adults 18-49
NBC spins the numbers for Tuesday, August 25.

[08/26/15 - 08:27 AM]
Tuesday's Broadcast Ratings: NBC Tops Viewers, Demos for Sixth Consecutive Week
"America's Got Talent" paves the way for another victory by the Peacock.

[08/25/15 - 01:03 PM]
"48 Hours: Decades of Deceit" Is Saturday's #1 Broadcast at 10:00 PM with Adults 25-54, Adults 18-49 and Viewers
CBS spins the numbers for Saturday, August 22.

[08/25/15 - 09:03 AM]
"Live with Kelly and Michael" Is the Week's No. 1 Syndie Talker in All Key Measures
Disney/ABC Domestic Television spins the numbers for the week of August 10-14.

[08/25/15 - 08:43 AM]
Monday's Broadcast Ratings: ABC, NBC Share Top Demo Honors
The Alphabet's "Bachelor in Paradise" surges 20% from last week among adults 18-49.

[08/25/15 - 08:43 AM]
NBC Ties for the Monday Win Among the Big 4 in 18-49
NBC spins the numbers for Monday, August 24.

[08/25/15 - 08:37 AM]
"Bachelor in Paradise" and "Bachelor in Paradise: After Paradise" Both Hit Series Highs in Overall Viewers and Young Adults
ABC spins the numbers for Monday, August 24.

[08/24/15 - 01:46 PM]
"Fear the Walking Dead" Becomes the #1 Series Premiere in Cable History in Total Viewers and All Key Demos
AMC spins the numbers for Sunday, August 23.

[08/24/15 - 01:40 PM]
Investigation Discovery Shatters Network Records with the New Season Premiere of "Homicide Hunter: Lt. Joe Kenda," Delivering 3.8 Million Viewers P2+
Investigation Discovery further spins the numbers for Tuesday, August 18.

[08/24/15 - 12:43 PM]
"Under the Dome" Is the Week's Top Program in Live +7-Day Lift in Viewers and Adults 18-49 for the Second Straight Week
CBS further spins the numbers for the week of August 3-9.